Os estoques nos EUA caíram bastante após a divulgação de dados que mostram uma economia encolhendo no primeiro trimestre do segundo mandato do presidente Trump, gerando preocupações sobre uma possível recessão. O mercado estava em alta por seis dias, mas os resultados fracos da ADP e do PIB mudaram isso. A Nvidia teve uma queda de mais de 3% devido a notícias negativas, incluindo resultados ruins da Super Micro. Apesar disso, analistas do JP Morgan acreditam que isso não indica uma desaceleração na demanda do setor. A administração Trump pode mudar regras sobre a difusão de IA que podem afetar a Nvidia em negociações comerciais. A Microsoft e a Meta devem divulgar resultados que podem impactar o setor de IA e publicidade, com investidores atentos a comentários sobre gastos em centros de dados de IA e tendências de anúncios.
U.S. stocks are sharply lower on Wednesday after new data showed a shrinking economy in the first quarter of President Trump’s second term, sparking fears of a recession. The sell-off comes on the heels of a six-day winning streak. Both ADP payrolls and gross domestic product data came in weaker than expected. “Obviously the market’s taking this incredibly negative,” said Jim Cramer.
A few downbeat earnings are also weighing on the stock market, including a disappointing quarter from Club stock Starbucks. Nvidia took a hit Wednesday, falling more than 3% earlier in the session due to a few negative headlines. Super Micro preannounced weaker-than-expected quarterly results. JP Morgan analysts stated they do not believe the results signal any industry-wide demand slowdown dynamic and are unrelated to any supply headwinds.
In addition, Reuters reported that the Trump administration may modify the Biden-era AI diffusion rules aimed at limiting global access to chips, slated to start em 15 de maio. Those changes could include negotiating deals with individual countries instead of the planned tier system. Analysts at both CitBank and Bernstein worry that the move could put Nvidia at the center of trade deals and negotiations, negatively impacting the company.
Capital expenditure commentary on AI is front and center for the Club when Microsoft and Meta report earnings after the bell. In the case of Microsoft, investors are looking for any commentary about the reported pullback in AI data center spending and how much its Azure cloud unit grew. For Meta, advertising trends will be a key focus, particularly due to a drop-off in ads from Chinese retailers como Shein e Temu. Both reports could impact shares of Nvidia.
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